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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 3% | — | — | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $5.98K | in 7d |
| M15 Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | $10 | in 7d |
| M15 Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $5 | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | Dual-Criticism | M15 Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva | BuyLucas Andrade Da Silva75¢ → 97¢ | $1,050 | +$309 +29% | 16 |
clownly600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Mwendwa Mbithi and Lucas Andrade Da Silva in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mwendwa Mbithi' if Mwendwa Mbithi advances against Lucas Andrade Da Silva. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Andrade Da Silva' if Lucas Andrade Da Silva advances against Mwendwa Mbithi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for M15 Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva means the market gives it about 3%.