Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >1.34 | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1.20 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.20-1.24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.25-1.29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.30-1.34 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613d |  AgricultureSecretary | >1.34 | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,089 | +$46 +0.1% | 4 |
| 613d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | >1.34 | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 4 |
| 613d |  Dropper | >1.34 | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 613d |  🍝👹3 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,816 | +$131 +0.5% | 4 |
| 613d |  gopfan217 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $42,321 | +$14,907 +35% | 4 |
| 613d |  aenews213 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $68,415 | +$700 +1.0% | 4 |
| 613d |  WordleAddict | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,652 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 613d | WordleAddict | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $56,829 | +$171 +0.3% | 4 |
| 613d | aenews27 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $276,637 | +$6,289 +2.3% | 4 |
| 613d | aenews28 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $201,400 | +$1,624 +0.8% | 4 |
| 613d | wokerjoesleeper | >1.34 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | −$42 −1.4% | — |
| 614d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,174 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 614d |  donkeykongnig | 1.25-1.29 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,986 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 614d | cigarettes11 fills | 1.30-1.34 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $57,805 | +$363 +0.6% | 4 |
| 614d | cigarettes17 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $80,553 | +$178 +0.2% | 4 |
| 614d | cigarettes17 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $80,618 | +$204 +0.3% | 4 |
| 614d | kfcvme50 | <1.20 | SellNo100¢ | $2,508 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 614d | kfcvme50 | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,518 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 614d | pantomime2 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,105 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 615d | wokerjoesleeper10 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,316 | +$38 +0.3% | 4 |
| 615d | wokerjoesleeper8 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,786 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 615d | cigarettes15 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $77,750 | +$241 +0.3% | 4 |
| 615d | wokerjoesleeper10 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,320 | +$34 +0.3% | 4 |
| 615d | aenews25 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $64,061 | +$459 +0.7% | 4 |
| 615d | wokerjoesleeper6 fills | 1.30-1.34 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,246 | +$34 +0.4% | 4 |
| 615d |  MotherTheresa | >1.34 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,992 | +$73 +0.8% | 4 |
| 615d | mrazish | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 615d | kiritofi | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,616 | +$47 +0.2% | 4 |
| 615d | Nowhere-Man7 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $29,268 | +$5,099 +17% | 9 |
| 615d |  KimJonEn | >1.34 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 617d | TbuzzXixpy | <1.20 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,098 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 617d | TbuzzXixpy | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 617d | xasayarrr | >1.34 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$31 −1.6% | — |
| 617d |  ihjgjiljkhbvjljk3 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,817 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 617d | ihjgjiljkhbvjljk | >1.34 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$14 +0.9% | 4 |
| 617d | 9158 | 1.30-1.34 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $38,060 | +$540 +1.4% | 4 |
| 618d | 0x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de8 | >1.34 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$99 +3.5% | 4 |
| 619d | AirSol | >1.34 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$60 −5.8% | — |
| 619d | KimbalMusk3 fills | >1.34 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $8,078 | −$1,651 −20% | — |
| 620d |  CPU | >1.34 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,401 | +$297 +12% | 4 |
| 620d |  Strider-12 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$1,354 +54% | 4 |
| 621d | Lowyrok | >1.34 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | −$1,519 −39% | — |
| 622d | KMONEY | >1.34 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | −$522 −41% | — |
| 624d | QQQ9000 | >1.34 | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $3,920 | +$3,920 +100% | — |
| 624d | donkeykongnig2 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$112 +2.8% | 5 |
| 625d | Liquidifier | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | +$45 +0.9% | 4 |
| 625d | Nowhere-Man6 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,997 | +$141 +1.0% | 4 |
| 625d | Nowhere-Man4 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,806 | +$130 +1.1% | 4 |
| 626d |  sorcerer.03 | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$85 +5.7% | 5 |
| 626d | 🍝👹 | <1.20 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,475 | −$39 −1.1% | — |
| 626d | Gallo2 fills | >1.34 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | −$1,119 −46% | — |
| 627d | ihjgjiljkhbvjljk | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | +$57 +3.3% | 4 |
| 628d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$60 +3.6% | 4 |
| 629d |  sorcerer.01 | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$96 +8.7% | 5 |
| 629d | Lowyrok2 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,694 | +$2,661 +99% | 4 |
| 630d |  AlmostAndy | >1.34 | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | −$1,428 −100% | — |
| 630d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,164 | +$295 +9.3% | 5 |
| 630d | KimbalMusk2 fills | >1.34 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $2,581 | +$2,414 +94% | 6 |
| 630d | QQQ90003 fills | >1.34 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $5,469 | −$5,469 −100% | 4 |
| 632d | 🍝👹 | <1.20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,695 | +$300 +1.5% | 4 |
0x203b348f5u28dx623l231m233548,884 sharesThis is a market group over the temperature increase recorded for January 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >1.34 means the market gives it about 100%.