Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710d | Kamala wins and immediately bans X? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 710d | H2g38K12 | Kamala wins and immediately bans X? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | −$86 −5.1% | — |
| 719d | H2g38K12 | Kamala wins and immediately bans X? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$47 +2.0% | 4 |
| 730d | Kamala wins and immediately bans X? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | −$84 −4.0% | — | |
| 732d | Kamala wins and immediately bans X? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | −$69 −2.9% | — | |
| 740d | Kamala wins and immediately bans X? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | −$46 −2.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 United States presidential election and signs an official order or takes executive action to ban X by 11:59 PM ET on February 3 (within two weeks of her inauguration on January 20, 2025). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Kamala Harris loses the election this market will immediately resolve to "No." A ban is defined as an official action prohibiting the majority of Americans from downloading and/or using X. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.