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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Prison Time | 100% | +29 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 years | 0% | −19 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-10 years | 0% | −3 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-20 years | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-30 years | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30+ years | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485d |  UwO | 20-30 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,140 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | UwO | No Prison Time | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,490 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | No Prison Time | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,463 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d |  macrosteaks | No Prison Time | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,164 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d |  bigmoneyloser004 fills | No Prison Time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,989 | +$100 +0.8% | 20 |
| 485d | cigarettes3 fills | 20-30 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,126 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | cigarettes3 fills | 30+ years | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,122 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | cigarettes2 fills | <5 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,044 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | cigarettes3 fills | 10-20 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,122 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | cigarettes3 fills | 5-10 years | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,120 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 485d | nostradamus-markets | 30+ years | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Karen Read as part of her ongoing trial in Commonwealth of Massachusetts v. Karen Read by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Read is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Massachusetts court system or other involved government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Prison Time means the market gives it about 100%.