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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $170,268 | +$1,501 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 289d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 289d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,275 | +$44 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 289d | macanga | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,432 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 289d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 289d | nedsta | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,889 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 289d | Modern-Blight | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | Coach99 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,267 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 290d | huyilk | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,196 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 290d | huyilk | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 290d | eb6c6d0 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,697 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 290d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,914 | +$307 +4.4% | 20 | |
| 290d | Djibooty | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 290d | denizz2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,438 | −$52 −1.0% | — |
| 291d | 229c3e93d2a3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,352 | +$43 +1.3% | 20 |
| 291d | 229c3e93d2a2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | −$19 −0.8% | — |
| 291d | 2a24182 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,958 | −$40 −0.8% | — |
| 291d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,679 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 291d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,186 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 291d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,452 | +$78 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 291d | ChampaLiberation6 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,732 | +$426 +1.5% | 20 |
| 291d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $3,069 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $14,603 | +$1,401 +9.6% | 20 | |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,718 | −$91 −2.4% | — | |
| 292d | 4bet | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,762 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,978 | +$22 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,280 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 293d | hesitant | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,406 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 294d | tommyaltaccount | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 294d | 0446 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 294d | 6300815 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,171 | +$11 +0.5% | 20 |
| 294d | 2a24182 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,966 | +$32 +0.6% | 20 |
| 294d | derda123 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | −$17 −0.8% | — |
| 294d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,371 | +$29 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 294d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$7 −0.6% | — | |
| 295d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,006 | +$36 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 295d | 0x253d…33074 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,638 | +$74 +1.0% | 20 |
| 295d | lowrisk2 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 296d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$11 −0.9% | — | |
| 297d | forinnerpsandr1x112222 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,574 | +$109 +0.7% | 20 |
| 297d | d79d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 297d | billlee1231 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 20 |
| 297d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,329 | +$81 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 297d | Vilgefortz8 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $70,406 | +$6,047 +8.6% | 20 |
| 297d | TheMayor2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,519 | +$30 +0.9% | 20 |
| 299d | affafs124 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 299d | HuskyRRRRR | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,296 | +$39 +0.9% | 20 |
| 299d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,960 | +$40 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 299d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$9 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 300d | 91bbc | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 300d | 082373 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,673 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 300d | 2a43398 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,265 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 300d | 64b9e | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 300d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,510 | +$45 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 300d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,415 | +$185 +5.4% | 20 | |
| 300d | TheTradingGame | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 301d | 07765C2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,189 | −$50 −1.2% | — |
| 301d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,852 | +$77 +1.3% | 20 | |
| 301d | funking | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | −$71 −2.4% | — |
| 301d | funkylad | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,392 | −$108 −2.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between December 28, 2024, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.