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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 13 | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 20 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247d | Trustinghorse4 fills | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,955 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse4 fills | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,324 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 247d | pkz | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,093 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 247d | Trustinghorse4 fills | February 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,602 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 13 means the market gives it about 100%.