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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | Arashi9527 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,055 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 113d | 678sigma | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,118 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 113d | 678sigma | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 143d | Arashi9527 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,778 | +$57 +1.5% | 4 |
| 149d | nokohuiuho7 fills | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $123,840 | +$2,160 +1.7% | 4 |
| 150d | Diligent-Scenario | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$22 −1.5% | — |
| 151d | uztttzzzzzuu7 fills | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $123,823 | +$2,141 +1.7% | 4 |
| 151d | uztttzzzzzuu | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,207 | −$42 −1.9% | — |
| 151d | Diligent-Scenario | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | +$62 +3.6% | 4 |
| 152d | Greedy-PokerNew account | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $211,478 | +$7,789 +3.7% | 5 |
| 152d | recdyss12 fills | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $212,048 | +$7,764 +3.7% | 4 |
| 156d | nfbrueueu14 fills | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $270,944 | +$5,765 +2.1% | 4 |
| 157d | mroesterrr15 fills | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $291,660 | +$6,175 +2.1% | 4 |
| 157d | mroesterrr | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,520 | −$480 −2.5% | — |
| 234d | JOHNEX14 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$57 −5.6% | — |
hjhjhjhjhjhjhj8 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 3%.