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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$500m | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $500m - $1b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1b - $1.5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.5b - $2b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2b - $2.5b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2.5b - $3b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3b - $3.5b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3.5b - $4b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4b - $4.5b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4.5b - $5b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$5b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603d | AZwater | <$500m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,690 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | cocos228 | <$500m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,810 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | ZDR-316 | $1b - $1.5b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | $500m - $1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,922 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 603d | gh0ul | <$500m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,902 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 603d | $500m - $1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 603d | ksieciuiu | >$5b | SellNo>99¢ | $3,603 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | coolben | <$500m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 603d | gandalffromtheearth | $500m - $1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 603d | Scarb | <$500m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,291 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 603d | $500m - $1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,189 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 603d | <$500m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,595 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 604d | ZDR-316 | $1b - $1.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | cocos228 | <$500m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 604d | 025d5 fills | <$500m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,928 | +$147 +1.9% | 2 |
| 604d | cigarettes3 fills | $2b - $2.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,644 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | cigarettes3 fills | $1.5b - $2b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,644 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | cigarettes3 fills | $1b - $1.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,644 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | cigarettes2 fills | $500m - $1b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,331 | +$45 +1.9% | 2 |
| 604d | Zazas | <$500m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$28 +1.4% | 2 |
| 604d | wokerjoesleeper | $1.5b - $2b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | wokerjoesleeper | $2b - $2.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | wokerjoesleeper | $1b - $1.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 604d | limosine2 fills | <$500m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,418 | +$147 +3.3% | 2 |
| 604d | ostrygracz | >$5b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,228 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 605d | silence365 | <$500m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$31 +3.1% | 2 |
| 605d | PELTEKA | $2.5b - $3b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 606d | Smallpeepee2 fills | $500m - $1b | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,220 | +$191 +5.9% | 2 |
| 606d | Peepee | $4b - $4.5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 607d | ostrygracz | >$5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 607d | ksieciuiu | >$5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,603 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 607d | <$500m | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$85 −7.7% | — | |
| 607d | Progamblerjohn2 fills | <$500m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,879 | +$213 +3.6% | 2 |
| 608d | II90 | <$500m | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $66,700 | −$48,300 −72% | — |
| 608d | TYH88 | <$500m | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $46,000 | −$46,000 −100% | 9 |
| 609d | <$500m | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$287 +26% | 3 |
This market will resolve according to the $LIBRA 1 minute candle “Close” FDV for February 15, 12:00 (noon) in the ET timezone. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $LIBRA available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/bzzmnvfm7t6zsgfelxzermrxfkanldo4fszvsisxcszz, viewed by clicking Price and 1m on the top row of the chart, when multiplied by the total supply.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <$500m means the market gives it about 100%.