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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +16 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | +3 pts | +3 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d |  TruongMyLan4 fills | December 31 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $13,398 | −$676 −5.0% | — |
| 291d |  Sik0 | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,260 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | johnnyapple5 fills | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $392,545 | −$393 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | czxxzc | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,453 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | vuvuzela | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,292 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 0dx982z6Esv8ssdd | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,605 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | salck | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  Gaojinlikechocolate | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,195 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | MrRoboto - 336392 fills | December 31 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $6,815 | −$1,291 −19% | — |
| 291d |  aenews2 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $276,419 | +$277 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d |  Oxinis | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,568 | −$33 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | dahndahn | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Justintintintintin | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,148 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | lattelatte | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,541 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | OoopsBankrupt5 fills | December 31 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $63,870 | −$3,283 −5.1% | — |
| 291d | mangotree3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $128,996 | +$222 +0.2% | 2 |
| 291d |  Chims | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | ebobc | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,818 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 291d |  UwO | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,238 | +$39 +0.2% | 2 |
| 291d |  Debosnys | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,841 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | parovstel | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $100,578 | −$268 −0.3% | — |
| 291d | Hyper235 fills | December 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,839 | +$555 +4.7% | 2 |
| 291d | 0xjackyen | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,690 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | sukuna1 | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,787 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | nothingspec | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,376 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | lotionmymotion | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  elmcap24 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $611,690 | +$1,225 +0.2% | 2 |
| 291d | Debosnys | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,988 | +$56 +0.2% | 2 |
| 291d |  monleru | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,013 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | Sensei2 | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,670 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | ewrwerfv | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | weffa23f23qf | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $37,385 | −$341 −0.9% | — |
| 291d | quantumer | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,409 | +$23 +0.2% | 2 |
| 291d |  alihanyer | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,980 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 291d | asdqw3423 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,196 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 291d |  smillingknight2 fills | December 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,262 | −$50 −1.5% | — |
| 291d | TheCheatCode2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,430 | +$35 +0.4% | 2 |
| 291d |  pmtosat- | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 291d | TruongMyLan5 fills | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,240 | +$260 +1.0% | 2 |
| 291d | Heeeelpme2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $20,346 | +$1,519 +7.5% | 2 |
| 291d | alihanyer2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,840 | +$160 +1.0% | 2 |
| 291d | denjisan3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$157 +1.3% | 2 |
| 291d |  JJo | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $33,163 | +$369 +1.1% | 2 |
| 291d | randomuser1234679 fills | December 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $163,983 | +$13,459 +8.2% | 3 |
| 291d | smillingknight | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,621 | +$25 +1.5% | 2 |
| 291d |  Alphax | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$21 +1.5% | 2 |
| 291d |  chungguskhan3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $69,578 | +$6,551 +9.4% | 2 |
| 291d |  dumbestdollars6 fills | December 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $13,977 | +$1,626 +12% | 2 |
| 291d | mojobased15 fills | December 31 | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $45,578 | −$45,578 −100% | 33 |
| 291d | dumbestdollars4 fills | December 31 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $13,214 | −$855 −6.5% | — |
| 291d | hollyber6 fills | December 31 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $27,012 | −$7,500 −28% | — |
| 291d | 0x89cd…4d7d | December 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | −$92 −4.2% | — |
| 291d | xule | December 31 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,762 | −$251 −5.3% | — |
| 291d | MrRoboto - 33639 | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,399 | +$208 +4.7% | 2 |
| 291d |  DROBOBAS | December 31 | SellNo1¢ → 0¢ | $2,028 | +$2,028 +100% | — |
| 291d | jpegtrader | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$49 +3.6% | 2 |
| 291d | hdhdhdkhdkhdkxhdkx | December 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | −$44 −3.9% | — |
| 291d | sagishi | December 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$43 −2.7% | — |
| 291d | TheDealer | December 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,889 | −$477 −3.2% | — |
| 291d | Fastbets5 fills | December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $39,828 | +$675 +1.7% | 2 |
9dfbmdfj169,824 sharesthis is a market on lighter airdrop
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.