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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27°C | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 21°C or below | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 22°C | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 23°C | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 24°C | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25°C | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 26°C | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 28°C | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 29°C | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30°C | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 31°C or higher | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 27°C means the market gives it about 100%.