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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 565d |  wowfarm | Lula out before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 592d | leodotfi | Lula out before April? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$30 −3.0% | — |
| 643d | 0xTrinity | Lula out before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$106 +6.4% | 4 |
| 646d |  Dropper | Lula out before April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$187 +8.7% | 4 |
| 667d | Aslima | Lula out before April? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$237 −23% | — |
TDKahovka278 shares
hvkvridvnce1 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.