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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤0.1% | 100% | +50 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0.2% | 0% | −27 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.3% | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.4% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥0.5% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 555d | ≤0.1% | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,599 | +$401 +11% | 13 | |
| 555d | ≥0.5% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,635 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 563d | 0.4% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$13 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 563d | 0.4% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$18 +1.5% | 10 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in March 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≤0.1% means the market gives it about 100%.