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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10m - $13m | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$10m | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $13m - $16m | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$16m | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | $13m - $16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,377 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 482d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | $10m - $13m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 482d |  AgricultureSecretary | $13m - $16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,672 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 485d |  aenews2 | $10m - $13m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 486d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | >$16m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,953 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 486d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | $13m - $16m | SellNo>99¢ | $20,164 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 486d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | >$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,311 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 486d |  noreasapa | >$16m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 486d | noreasapa | <$10m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,230 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 486d | cigarettes | >$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,631 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 486d | aviato | <$10m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,642 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 486d | aviato | >$16m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 486d | SPECADER2 fills | $10m - $13m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,440 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 486d | ThereIsNoSpoon | $10m - $13m | SellYes>99¢ | $17,408 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 486d |  DramaQueen89 | <$10m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,489 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 487d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | $13m - $16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 487d |  Vespucci | <$10m | SellNo>99¢ | $4,292 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 487d | Winninghumbly2 fills | <$10m | SellNo>99¢ | $19,928 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 487d | cigarettes | $13m - $16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,921 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | xbsuwrkfmdl374 fills | $10m - $13m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,508 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 488d | nosik | >$16m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,234 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 488d | safubets | $10m - $13m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d |  Cookedtan | $13m - $16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 488d | juniper | $10m - $13m | BuyYes100¢ | $3,447 | +$17 +0.5% | 4 |
| 489d |  enderone4 fills | >$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,728 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 489d | ThereIsNoSpoon3 fills | >$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,991 | +$34 +0.5% | 4 |
| 489d | ThereIsNoSpoon | <$10m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,376 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 489d | 3werYH4 | <$10m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,835 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 489d | aviato | >$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 491d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | <$10m | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,032 | −$107 −5.3% | — |
| 491d |  GUHHH | <$10m | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | −$123 −5.3% | — |
| 491d |  Big.Chungus | <$10m | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,761 | −$238 −5.0% | — |
| 492d | Vespucci | <$10m | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$265 +24% | 5 |
TimeTraveler750 sharesThis market will resolve according to how much “Materialists” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Materialists-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 13 - June 15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $10m - $13m means the market gives it about 100%.