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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.10-1.16 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <1.03 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.03-1.09 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.17-1.23 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.24-1.30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >1.30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 857d | 1.24-1.30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,583 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 857d | Kapii | 1.03-1.09 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 859d | Snowy098 | 1.10-1.16 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | −$375 −11% | — |
| 861d | dutchcrunch | 1.17-1.23 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 4 |
| 861d | dutchcrunch | 1.10-1.16 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,674 | +$331 +12% | 4 |
| 863d | 1.03-1.09 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$43 −4.1% | — | |
| 864d | >1.30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,550 | +$434 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 866d | 1.10-1.16 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $4,680 | −$4,680 −100% | 4 | |
| 866d | 1.10-1.16 | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | −$1,023 −100% | 4 | |
| 868d | 1.03-1.09 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,630 | −$29 −0.6% | — | |
| 868d | 1.03-1.09 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,658 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 868d | Kapii | 1.24-1.30 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$705 +59% | 12 |
| 869d | 1.03-1.09 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,136 | +$106 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 878d | 1.24-1.30 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 4 | |
| 886d | 1.17-1.23 | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | −$1,070 −100% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.10-1.16 means the market gives it about 100%.