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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1-3b | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$1b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3-5b | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $5-7b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $7-9b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $9-11b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $11-13b | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $13-15b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $15b+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d | GimmeMyMoney-009 | $1-3b | SellYes>99¢ | $1,207 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | DJwell | $3-5b | SellNo>99¢ | $2,000 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | maybebabystoilet | $3-5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | DJwell | $3-5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | $1-3b | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$20 +1.5% | 2 | |
| 631d | PollyMarchev | <$1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,205 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 631d | $13-15b | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,012 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 631d | dalbit | $15b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | $15b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 631d | ouroborosgod | $15b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,235 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | KURAKAO | $15b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 633d | bishenmg | $7-9b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$21 +2.0% | 2 |
| 633d | iwantitmore | $1-3b | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$1,947 −191% | — |
| 634d | snowss | $15b+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$28 +2.1% | 2 |
This is a market on the future dollar value (FDV) of the MELANIA token on Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $1-3b means the market gives it about 100%.