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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 11.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NRFI | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153d | xxyy10086 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  toireK | O/U 10.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $2,018 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Shocked-Yoke | O/U 8.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $10,395 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  mirroredtrade-RocWins | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians>99¢ | $1,344 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  alpheclabs | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians>99¢ | $1,426 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  67BrainRot | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians>99¢ | $5,900 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 153d |  wowfarm | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 153d | KittyInTheBigCity | O/U 10.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,300 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Ru386 | O/U 10.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $6,635 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | justaluckydude | O/U 10.5 | BuyOver96¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$140 +4.2% | 4 |
| 153d | retarb | O/U 10.5 | BuyOver91¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | +$173 +9.8% | 4 |
| 153d | sietechips | O/U 8.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,910 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | i-am-dumb | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians94¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$255 +6.4% | 4 |
| 153d | Ru386 | O/U 9.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,803 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Fluffy-Historian | O/U 9.5 | SellOver99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 153d | MTY222 fills | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians97¢ → 100¢ | $9,700 | +$276 +2.8% | 4 |
| 153d | justaluckydude | O/U 9.5 | BuyOver96¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$57 +4.2% | 4 |
| 153d |  OptionallityCrush | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians57¢ → 100¢ | $4,560 | +$3,440 +75% | 6 |
| 153d | Idontwantausername | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds44¢ → 0¢ | $2,552 | −$2,552 −100% | 6 |
| 153d |  xx21341asfd | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCincinnati Reds38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 153d | swisstony | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians55¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$1,086 +82% | 6 |
| 153d | BaronOnThrone | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians55¢ → 100¢ | $2,627 | +$2,150 +82% | 6 |
| 153d | Jukooa | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds51¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | Machefai | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds62¢ → 0¢ | $5,873 | −$5,873 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | Married-Deduction | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCincinnati Reds77¢ → 0¢ | $1,131 | +$1,131 +100% | — |
| 153d |  pinkboy | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds76¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | 0x4f2 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians55¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$812 −81% | — |
| 153d | xx21341asfd | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds38¢ → 0¢ | $1,139 | −$1,139 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | devilbanker5 fills | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds35¢ → 0¢ | $9,567 | −$9,567 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds38¢ → 0¢ | $4,606 | −$4,606 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder47¢ → 0¢ | $2,202 | −$2,202 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | BaronOnThrone | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver43¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,940 +134% | 4 |
| 153d | torta.tech | Spread -1.5 | BuyCincinnati Reds61¢ → 0¢ | $1,121 | −$1,121 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | Eggplant | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver42¢ → 100¢ | $6,512 | +$8,836 +136% | 4 |
| 153d | swisstony | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder55¢ → 0¢ | $2,510 | −$2,510 −100% | 4 |
| 153d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds29¢ → 0¢ | $1,777 | −$1,777 −100% | 6 |
| 153d | Shocked-Yoke | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,405 +108% | 4 |
| 153d | xxyy10086 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians60¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,000 +67% | 6 |
| 153d | Vigilant-Environment | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians56¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$1,726 +79% | 6 |
| 153d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians58¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$801 +72% | 6 |
| 153d | Eztennis3 fills | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds42¢ → 0¢ | $147,591 | −$148K −100% | 4 |
| 153d |  mooseborzoi | Spread -1.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians41¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | +$4,194 +144% | 14 |
| 153d | mlbman | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds42¢ → 0¢ | $1,137 | −$1,137 −100% | 4 |
| 154d |  SDTrading | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$1,689 +100% | 14 |
| 154d |  beet420 | Spread -1.5 | BuyCincinnati Reds59¢ → 0¢ | $4,382 | −$4,382 −100% | 14 |
| 154d | COLBY451 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians60¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$817 +67% | 4 |
| 154d | zenglelele | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds40¢ → 0¢ | $2,658 | −$2,658 −100% | 4 |
| 154d | ic4cream | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds40¢ → 0¢ | $4,193 | −$4,193 −100% | 4 |
| 154d | SDTrading | Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCincinnati Reds39¢ → 0¢ | $5,051 | −$5,051 −100% | 4 |
SDTrading12,952 shares
ElectroEater3,733 sharesIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 16 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians means the market gives it about 0%.