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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NRFI | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 11.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyKansas City Royals99¢ → 100¢ | $4,526 | +$44 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 164d | 0xf6fc…2226 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyKansas City Royals96¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$62 +4.2% | 4 |
| 164d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver53¢ → 0¢ | $2,640 | −$2,640 −100% | 4 |
| 164d | swisstony | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyKansas City Royals73¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$588 +37% | 6 |
| 164d | HomeRunHazard | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyKansas City Royals65¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | +$1,665 +54% | 6 |
| 164d | pilotguy2 fills | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyCleveland Guardians51¢ → 0¢ | $4,033 | −$4,033 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | swisstony | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$1,258 +117% | 4 |
| 164d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyKansas City Royals48¢ → 100¢ | $23,409 | +$25,359 +108% | 6 |
| 164d | texaskid | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyKansas City Royals48¢ → 100¢ | $5,419 | +$5,870 +108% | 4 |
| 165d | Markram2 fills | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BuyCleveland Guardians52¢ → 0¢ | $8,025 | −$8,025 −100% | 4 |
| 165d | PLB | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder58¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$717 +72% | 12 |
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 5 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals means the market gives it about 0%.