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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NRFI | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Extra Innings | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d | kkookkoo | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians>99¢ | $23,546 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 90d | jaydengo | O/U 7.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 90d |  DoShanna456818 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians99¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 90d |  Rex4163 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians66¢ → 100¢ | $13,753 | +$7,077 +51% | 6 |
| 90d | uptime0724 | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder95¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | −$1,102 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | uptime0724 | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder98¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | +$61 +2.5% | 4 |
| 90d | DoShanna456818 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians63¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$976 +59% | 6 |
| 90d | Roshkara | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians63¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$605 +59% | 6 |
| 90d | phonesculptor3 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellPittsburgh Pirates53¢ → 0¢ | $14,155 | +$14,155 +100% | — |
| 90d | Vigilant-Environment | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $2,347 | +$2,443 +104% | 4 |
| 90d | HomeRunHazard6 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates71¢ → 0¢ | $23,740 | −$23,740 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | 0xa0f2…1848 | Spread -1.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 4 |
| 90d | MixoTr03 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates94¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | 0xe821…3128 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellPittsburgh Pirates88¢ → 0¢ | $1,728 | +$1,728 +100% | — |
| 90d | 0xe821…3128 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates91¢ → 0¢ | $1,788 | −$1,788 −100% | 5 |
| 90d | HomeRunHazard | Spread -1.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates80¢ → 0¢ | $9,996 | −$9,996 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | ferrariChampions2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates85¢ → 0¢ | $2,134 | −$2,134 −100% | 5 |
| 90d | 0x4f22 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates79¢ → 0¢ | $7,468 | −$7,468 −100% | 5 |
| 90d | 0x4f2 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellCleveland Guardians18¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | −$8,200 −456% | — |
| 90d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 0¢ | $6,789 | −$6,789 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates68¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 12 |
| 90d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates68¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 6 |
| 90d | uptime07242 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates59¢ → 0¢ | $3,376 | −$3,376 −100% | 6 |
| 90d | vgybhu | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians37¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$3,150 +170% | 6 |
| 90d | 0x4f2 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians50¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | +$2,497 +100% | 6 |
| 90d | 0x4f2 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellPittsburgh Pirates50¢ → 0¢ | $2,557 | +$2,557 +100% | — |
| 90d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$2,397 +96% | 4 |
| 90d | kkookkoo | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians51¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$11,529 +96% | 6 |
| 90d | MD14 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates50¢ → 0¢ | $4,068 | −$4,068 −100% | 6 |
| 90d | Detailed-Warning-Crane3 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians51¢ → 100¢ | $71,855 | +$69,037 +96% | 9 |
| 90d |  SPCEXBUYER | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $44,365 | −$44,365 −100% | 6 |
| 90d | 0xae6e…5c65 | O/U 7.5 | SellUnder43¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | +$1,307 +100% | — |
| 90d | kimi1986 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $6,651 | −$6,651 −100% | 6 |
| 90d | comon119 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians52¢ → 100¢ | $10,400 | +$9,600 +92% | 4 |
| 90d | LSS1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | BuyUnder55¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$3,118 +82% | 14 |
| 90d | Vague-Impala-Requirement | Spread -1.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates37¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | LSS1 | NRFI | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | +$1,414 +40% | 4 |
| 90d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 0¢ | $5,706 | −$5,706 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | ferrariChampions2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians52¢ → 100¢ | $34,000 | +$31,385 +92% | 4 |
| 90d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder46¢ → 0¢ | $11,083 | −$11,083 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | HomeRunHazard5 fills | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver54¢ → 100¢ | $7,010 | +$5,959 +85% | 14 |
| 90d | NewTeamSosed2 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | −$3,700 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | sportmaster777 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $2,488 | −$2,488 −100% | 4 |
| 91d | 0xae6e…5c65 | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder47¢ → 0¢ | $1,428 | −$1,428 −100% | 14 |
| 91d |  halomango | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver54¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$2,300 +85% | 14 |
| 91d | BillBenter2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 4 |
| 91d | phonesculptor2 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyPittsburgh Pirates48¢ → 0¢ | $9,412 | −$9,412 −100% | 4 |
| 91d | 0xc7bc…4a073 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians51¢ → 100¢ | $5,966 | +$5,726 +96% | 4 |
SPCEXBUYER133,769 shares
imy4950,000 sharesIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 18 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians means the market gives it about 0%.