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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NRFI | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Extra Innings | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d |  digitalnomad85 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $5,449 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 66d | LUCKYME001 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins>99¢ | $1,169 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 66d | ezMerge | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins99¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 66d |  wowfarm | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins99¢ → 100¢ | $19,800 | +$200 +1.0% | 4 |
| 66d | LesterDiamond | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins99¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | +$35 +1.0% | 4 |
| 66d | IlIIIIlIl | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins99¢ → 100¢ | $14,834 | −$150 −1.0% | — |
| 66d | 0xf2e3…31c92 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins97¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$74 +3.1% | 4 |
| 66d |  SquatFT | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | −$150 −11% | — |
| 66d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins86¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$216 −16% | — |
| 66d |  Zelenskys-suit | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins82¢ → 100¢ | $7,872 | +$1,728 +22% | 5 |
| 66d | curie | Spread -2.5 | BuyMiami Marlins39¢ → 0¢ | $1,073 | −$1,073 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | curie | Spread -2.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates56¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$882 +79% | 4 |
| 66d | mjjbb | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,455 +82% | 6 |
| 66d | MLJBASEBALL | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$1,841 +82% | 6 |
| 66d | xifutloong32 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $36,000 | +$29,455 +82% | 6 |
| 66d | dontworrybaseball | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,045 +82% | 6 |
| 66d | HomeRunHazard | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $3,017 | −$3,017 −100% | 6 |
| 66d | Substantial-Service | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates46¢ → 0¢ | $9,827 | −$9,827 −100% | 6 |
| 66d | digitalnomad85 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins55¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,455 +82% | 6 |
| 66d | IlIIIIlIl2 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins53¢ → 100¢ | $32,789 | +$29,571 +90% | 4 |
| 66d | 0xa0f2…18484 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates50¢ → 0¢ | $4,020 | −$4,020 −100% | 6 |
| 66d |  VeryLucky8887 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellPittsburgh Pirates50¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | +$7,000 +100% | — |
| 66d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder57¢ → 100¢ | $6,331 | +$4,776 +75% | 14 |
| 66d | HomeRunHazard13 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder43¢ → 100¢ | $51,146 | +$67,798 +133% | 14 |
| 66d |  ComingBack | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver44¢ → 0¢ | $7,343 | −$7,343 −100% | 14 |
| 66d | pleaseplease1232 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver57¢ → 0¢ | $6,229 | −$6,229 −100% | 14 |
| 66d | zagzig1232 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins50¢ → 100¢ | $10,186 | +$10,186 +100% | 4 |
| 66d | dv-pm | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder43¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,657 +133% | 14 |
| 66d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder44¢ → 100¢ | $19,240 | +$24,566 +128% | 12 |
| 66d | Sassy-Bucket | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver43¢ → 0¢ | $4,363 | −$4,363 −100% | 14 |
| 66d | mlbman | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
| 66d |  scootergene | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver43¢ → 0¢ | $4,859 | −$4,859 −100% | 14 |
| 66d |  SDTrading | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder43¢ → 100¢ | $17,200 | +$22,800 +133% | 14 |
| 66d |  Kosherlocks | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,713 +94% | 14 |
| 66d | ferrariChampions2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates51¢ → 0¢ | $3,697 | −$3,697 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | comon119 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver57¢ → 0¢ | $2,850 | −$2,850 −100% | 14 |
| 66d | comon119 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates51¢ → 0¢ | $2,550 | −$2,550 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $29,166 | −$29,166 −100% | 12 |
| 67d | JAMJAMJAM4 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder45¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | +$2,448 +122% | 12 |
| 67d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $3,985 | −$3,985 −100% | 12 |
| 67d |  nigiri99 | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder66¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | +$1,379 +52% | 12 |
| 67d | gabmlergao | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder58¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$869 +72% | 12 |
TCA4,000 sharesIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 11 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins means the market gives it about 0%.