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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NRFI | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 11.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 12.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Extra Innings | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d | Ohtani-Wife | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | JerOri | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | SellMiami Marlins>99¢ | $1,662 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 65d | Ohtani-Wife | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 65d | JerOri | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins>99¢ | $1,660 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 65d | 0xf2e3…31c92 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins99¢ → 100¢ | $2,404 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 65d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 11.5 | BuyUnder67¢ → 100¢ | $4,463 | +$2,198 +49% | 4 |
| 65d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 10.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 100¢ | $2,494 | +$2,212 +89% | 4 |
| 65d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins64¢ → 100¢ | $8,094 | +$4,607 +57% | 4 |
| 65d | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins89¢ → 100¢ | $3,434 | +$424 +12% | 5 | |
| 65d | torta.tech | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins87¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$213 +15% | 5 |
| 65d | swisstony | Spread -1.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates58¢ → 0¢ | $1,612 | −$1,612 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | curie | Spread -1.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates58¢ → 0¢ | $1,972 | −$1,972 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates54¢ → 0¢ | $1,862 | −$1,862 −100% | 6 |
| 65d | curie | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins50¢ → 100¢ | $3,324 | +$3,324 +100% | 6 |
| 65d | kimi1986 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins50¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | +$3,514 +100% | 6 |
| 65d | Substantial-Service | Spread -1.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates64¢ → 0¢ | $11,818 | −$11,818 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | ROI-Human | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyMiami Marlins53¢ → 100¢ | $3,257 | +$2,888 +89% | 4 |
| 65d | Sore-Burial | NRFI | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$2,241 +89% | 4 |
| 65d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $8,819 | −$8,819 −100% | 14 |
| 65d | HomeRunHazard | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $5,071 | −$5,071 −100% | 14 |
| 65d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $2,879 | +$2,997 +104% | 14 |
| 65d | pleaseplease123 | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 100¢ | $5,343 | +$4,198 +79% | 14 |
| 65d | pleaseplease123 | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $5,765 | +$6,501 +113% | 14 |
| 66d | comon119 | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder54¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 12 |
| 66d | comon119 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $3,184 | −$3,184 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | ferrariChampions2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BuyPittsburgh Pirates49¢ → 0¢ | $1,347 | −$1,347 −100% | 4 |
| 66d | HomeRunHazard | Spread -2.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates76¢ → 0¢ | $3,386 | −$3,386 −100% | 10 |
| 66d | HomeRunHazard | Spread -1.5 | BuyPittsburgh Pirates66¢ → 0¢ | $1,622 | −$1,622 −100% | 12 |
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 12 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins means the market gives it about 0%.