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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NRFI | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 12.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 11.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Extra Innings | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% | +78 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 13.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d | Hopeful-PipelineNew account | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | SellSan Diego Padres>99¢ | $1,326 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres>99¢ | $5,557 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 63d | justaluckydude | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres93¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$103 +7.0% | 4 |
| 63d | curie3 fills | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres83¢ → 100¢ | $7,952 | +$1,635 +21% | 5 |
| 63d | Hopeful-PipelineNew account | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres97¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$37 +2.9% | 4 |
| 63d | 0x9ec2…bd08 | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres85¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$286 +18% | 5 |
| 63d | curie4 fills | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians32¢ → 0¢ | $8,429 | −$8,429 −100% | 6 |
| 63d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres65¢ → 100¢ | $20,644 | +$10,958 +53% | 4 |
| 63d | swisstony | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$180 +18% | 4 |
| 63d | O/U 8.5 | BuyOver87¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$312 +15% | 4 | |
| 63d | ferrariChampions2026 | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres85¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$241 +18% | 5 |
| 63d | HomeRunHazard | Spread -1.5 | BuySan Diego Padres46¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$1,587 +117% | 4 |
| 63d | wr0ngw4yb3tt0r3 fills | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians43¢ → 0¢ | $5,171 | −$5,171 −100% | 6 |
| 63d | HomeRunHazard | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians37¢ → 0¢ | $4,708 | −$4,708 −100% | 6 |
| 63d | justaluckydude | Spread -2.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians50¢ → 0¢ | $2,844 | −$2,844 −100% | 4 |
| 63d | swisstony | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver55¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$1,171 +82% | 4 |
| 63d | swisstony | Spread -2.5 | BuyCleveland Guardians48¢ → 0¢ | $1,988 | −$1,988 −100% | 4 |
| 63d | swisstony | Spread -2.5 | BuySan Diego Padres46¢ → 100¢ | $2,828 | +$3,320 +117% | 4 |
| 63d | paquitomillonario2 fills | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder69¢ → 0¢ | $17,746 | −$17,746 −100% | 4 |
| 63d | torta.tech | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres47¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$2,171 +113% | 6 |
| 63d | comon119 | O/U 8.5 | BuyUnder64¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | −$1,302 −100% | 14 |
| 63d | comon119 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder44¢ → 0¢ | $2,618 | −$2,618 −100% | 14 |
| 63d | comon1192 fills | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians54¢ → 0¢ | $2,502 | −$2,502 −100% | 4 |
| 63d | Slippery-Joint | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres48¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,625 +108% | 4 |
| 63d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder56¢ → 0¢ | $1,811 | −$1,811 −100% | 14 |
| 63d | Wordy-Littleneck3 fills | O/U 7.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $61,540 | −$61,540 −100% | 12 |
| 63d | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres45¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | +$2,160 +122% | 4 | |
| 64d | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuySan Diego Padres45¢ → 100¢ | $10,422 | +$12,739 +122% | 4 | |
| 64d | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 100¢ | $21,611 | +$25,370 +117% | 12 | |
| 64d | 0x84d4…77a9 | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians55¢ → 0¢ | $1,424 | −$1,424 −100% | 4 |
| 64d | N34 | San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians | BuyCleveland Guardians55¢ → 0¢ | $13,929 | −$13,929 −100% | 4 |
| 64d | Follow555 | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$2,113 +117% | 12 |
| 64d | Hunter33 | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$2,113 +117% | 12 |
| 64d | dv-pm | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 100¢ | $13,748 | +$16,140 +117% | 12 |
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians means the market gives it about 100%.