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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | LBZone | Will Elon apologize to Trump before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,308 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 458d | 854A7843 | Will Elon apologize to Trump before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | −$15 −1.1% | — |
| 459d | applesandbananas | Will Elon apologize to Trump before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 459d | Will Elon apologize to Trump before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | +$60 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 467d | Will Elon apologize to Trump before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$97 +6.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an apology is issued to Donald Trump by Elon Musk between July 6 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An apology consists of any of the following: - An explicit statement using the words “apologize,” “sorry,” “regret,” “I was wrong,” or similar expressions of remorse directed at the specified individual - A public statement acknowledging fault or error in their statements or actions toward the specified individual - A retraction of previous negative statements coupled with an expression of regret or wrongdoing The following will not qualify: - Conditional apologies (e.g., “I'm sorry if…” “I would be sorry if…”) - Apologies to third parties or the public without specifically apologizing to the other party - Sarcastic or clearly insincere statements The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Elon Musk. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.