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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d |  noreasapa | NATO Article 5 by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,487 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 211d |  matematemate | NATO Article 5 by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$50 +3.6% | 4 |
| 236d |  dooby | NATO Article 5 by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$27 +1.2% | 4 |
heresjimmy900 sharesIf any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.