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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7 or after | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 14d |
| July 2 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 3 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 4 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 5 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 6 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time (UTC-4:00). The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for July 7 or after means the market gives it about 100%.