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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | ZIONISTSAREGHEY | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 204d | CodieSmith | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,020 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 204d | CodieSmith | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | JusticeHebert | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | EvangelineTran | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | AlaniWelch | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | DustinDavis | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | ThomasRios | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | DevineContreras | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | PhoenixSmith | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | BarrieStephens | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | EmberlySingleton2 fills | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,301 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | IvoryWilson | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,127 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | SkylerJensen | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | NaomiRichards | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | LaytonHoffman | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 204d | MadisonMoreno | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 227d | Constancefung | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$59 +5.7% | 20 |
niggabutt1,779 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.