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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Mancini | 100% | +27 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Pep Guardiola | 0% | −1 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Antonio Conte | 0% | −16 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Thiago Motta | 0% | −8 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Stefano Pioli | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Fabio Cannavaro | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Gianluigi Buffon | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Sebastian Hoeness | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Cesc Fabregas | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Julian Nagelsmann | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Andrea Pirlo | 0% | −3 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Francesco Totti | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Raffaele Palladino | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Manager B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Manager J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | lIllIlllIlIl | Andrea Pirlo | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,040 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 80d | lIllIlllIlIl | Roberto Mancini | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,996 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 80d | 5.5.5 | Andrea Pirlo | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,969 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 81d | IwaSperm00 | Roberto Mancini | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$26 −1.4% | — |
| 81d | Momo63 | Andrea Pirlo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,264 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 81d | discretionary | Roberto Mancini | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$52 +2.9% | 4 |
| 81d | discretionary | Thiago Motta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 82d | pagliacci4 | Andrea Pirlo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$12 +0.9% | 4 |
| 84d | Humble-Colonization | Andrea Pirlo | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $4,950 | −$4,950 −100% | 4 |
| 84d | Poortorich | Andrea Pirlo | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,093 | −$1,093 −100% | 4 |
| 85d |  HIM.HE | Andrea Pirlo | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 4 |
osniman650 sharesThis market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Roberto Mancini means the market gives it about 100%.