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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Carrick | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Darren Fletcher | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Oliver Glasner | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Gareth Southgate | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Enzo Maresca | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Laurent Blanc | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Kieran McKenna | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Ole Gunnar Solskjær | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Xavi | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Thomas Tuchel | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Xabi Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Luis Enrique | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148d |  Wickier | Michael Carrick | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,704 | +$49 +0.2% | 4 |
| 148d |  afonsoo0032 fills | Michael Carrick | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,100 | +$120 +2.9% | 4 |
| 148d | bc7g | Enzo Maresca | SellNo>99¢ | $1,831 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 152d | Sjels2 fills | Michael Carrick | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $13,444 | −$662 −4.9% | — |
| 154d | cptrans1 | Michael Carrick | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,615 | −$23 −0.9% | — |
| 154d | ocars2026 | Michael Carrick | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,776 | −$22 −0.8% | — |
| 154d | dorethien24 | Michael Carrick | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 154d | ksiangz972 fills | Michael Carrick | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | −$1,067 −34% | — |
| 155d | tphhh2 fills | Oliver Glasner | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,833 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 155d | tphhh | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,914 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 155d | tphhh | Thomas Tuchel | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,732 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 155d |  BookTrader | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | SellNo>99¢ | $2,930 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 156d | Tight-FasciaNew account | Michael Carrick | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,893 | −$139 −4.8% | — |
| 156d | Tight-FasciaNew account | Michael Carrick | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$32 +1.1% | 5 |
| 156d | blythspartans | Michael Carrick | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,576 | −$124 −4.8% | — |
| 156d | 08AF2 fills | Michael Carrick | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,787 | +$361 +7.5% | 4 |
| 156d | Sjels2 fills | Michael Carrick | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,628 | +$477 +3.5% | 4 |
| 163d | cptrans1 | Michael Carrick | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,348 | +$290 +12% | 4 |
| 163d | ocars2026 | Michael Carrick | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$308 +12% | 4 |
| 163d | BookTrader | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | +$62 +2.0% | 4 |
| 163d | BookTrader2 fills | Oliver Glasner | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$498 +20% | 4 |
| 163d | dorethien24 | Michael Carrick | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$185 +12% | 4 |
| 164d | BookTrader2 fills | Michael Carrick | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,983 | −$1,170 −17% | — |
| 166d | hitjnn214 | Michael Carrick | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$726 +30% | 4 |
| 169d | BookTrader | Michael Carrick | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | +$843 +37% | 4 |
| 171d | tryingout1 | Michael Carrick | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$372 +19% | 4 |
| 184d |  norrisfan | Michael Carrick | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,208 | −$1,208 −100% | 4 |
| 217d |  Lily.Phillips | Michael Carrick | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,852 | −$1,852 −100% | 4 |
| 226d |  LeSinner | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,661 | +$90 +2.5% | 4 |
| 248d | haeju2 fills | Michael Carrick | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,259 | −$2,259 −100% | 4 |
| 264d |  Robbb | Michael Carrick | SellNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,706 | +$1,706 +100% | — |
| 264d | Marcus177 | Michael Carrick | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | +$1,249 +100% | — |
| 274d | Robbb | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$36 −3.1% | — |
| 276d |  OhneScharf | Michael Carrick | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$773 +77% | 4 |
| 276d | borntoolate.eth | Michael Carrick | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $3,303 | −$4,561 −138% | — |
| 276d | borntoolate.eth | Michael Carrick | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | +$2,569 +116% | 4 |
| 277d | norrisfan | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 277d | Uncommon-Gel4 fills | Michael Carrick | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $6,430 | +$6,957 +108% | 4 |
| 277d | Vengeful-Pumpkin | Michael Carrick | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$2,924 −203% | — |
| 277d | Vengeful-Pumpkin | Michael Carrick | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$2,101 +105% | 4 |
| 278d |  kmkmm | Michael Carrick | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | +$1,047 +65% | 4 |
| 281d |  loafy2 fills | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $3,135 | +$1,607 +51% | 4 |
| 283d | tyforinv | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,504 | −$1,504 −100% | 4 |
| 283d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Ole Gunnar Solskjær | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$472 +35% | 4 |
| 283d | leegunner | Darren Fletcher | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$147 +10% | 4 |
| 284d | bc7g | Enzo Maresca | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$367 +25% | 4 |
labistiiia3,000 shares
laserjohnny1,814 shares
lmaoyouclown1,239 sharesThis market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Michael Carrick means the market gives it about 100%.