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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milakulo Tukumuli | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 256d |
| Alcide Ponga | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Sonia Backès | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Virginie Ruffenach | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Nicolas Metzdorf | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Christopher Gygès | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Johanito Wamytan | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Louis Mapou | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Paul Néaoutyine | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Pascal Sawa | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Pierre Chanel Tutugoro | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Gilbert Tyuienon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Gil Brial | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Jean Pierre Djaïwé | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 256d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 256d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77d | Michael5289 | Alcide Ponga | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,342 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | Michael5289 | Sonia Backès | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,528 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | Michael5289 | Louis Mapou | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,162 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 77d | Michael5289 | Milakulo Tukumuli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,794 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 78d |  Hot-Skull | Milakulo Tukumuli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,984 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 78d |  archaic2 fills | Milakulo Tukumuli | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,391 | +$215 +6.3% | 4 |
| 111d | parlia | Louis Mapou | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$30 +1.5% | 4 |
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Milakulo Tukumuli means the market gives it about 100%.