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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheál Martin | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Simon Harris | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mary Lou McDonald | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Chambers | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pearse Doherty | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Holly Cairns | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roderic O'Gorman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Helen McEntee | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jim O'Callaghan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Conor McGregor | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631d | Ordon2 fills | Micheál Martin | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,634 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 631d | Simon Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,424 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 631d | cigarettes2 fills | Simon Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,093 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 631d | wokerjoesleeper | Simon Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 631d | cigarettes2 fills | Pearse Doherty | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,095 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d | Micheál Martin | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,038 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 632d | OriginalGeezer | Micheál Martin | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,624 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 632d | pantomime | Holly Cairns | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,624 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d | Micheál Martin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 632d | OriginalGeezer | Holly Cairns | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,124 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 633d | OriginalGeezer | Simon Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,296 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 633d | cigarettes | Holly Cairns | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 633d | cigarettes | Jim O'Callaghan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 633d | cigarettes | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,038 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 633d | cigarettes | Jack Chambers | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,036 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 633d | Micheál Martin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 633d | Hanzzimmer | Micheál Martin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$18 +1.4% | 4 |
| 634d | Micheál Martin | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$93 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 634d | a1feg | Micheál Martin | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | −$73 −3.6% | — |
| 636d | envyduck | Mary Lou McDonald | SellNo>99¢ | $3,092 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 636d | envyduck | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | duckenvy | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | youssa | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | creditsimo | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | hoseas | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | chekins | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | bettermore | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | sopsopse | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | sibsibs | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | skyskyse | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | sonicboom | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | takelongeer | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | nothinglast | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | smallbay | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | chapchaps | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | sohyus | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | logboydy | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | boygirlsdo | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 636d | walletss | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | stockds | Helen McEntee | SellNo>99¢ | $4,328 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 636d | stockds | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,738 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | lemonduck | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,741 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | doctoto | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,741 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | ringingbell | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | sopppds | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | termsys | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | googss | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | waty | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | earmay | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | shoodsd | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | shooote | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | superand | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | teamse | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | speciap | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | tridios | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | redredse | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | seuseus | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,751 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 636d | darknon | Helen McEntee | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,746 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 640d | Mary Lou McDonald | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 640d | Conor McGregor | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,981 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting who will be the next Prime Minister of Ireland.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Micheál Martin means the market gives it about 100%.