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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Thune | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rick Scott | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Cornyn | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joni Ernst | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Barrasso | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 99¢ | — | ended |
| Person B | 0% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | ended |
| Person C | 0% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | ended |
| Person D | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 97¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | ended |
| Steve Daines | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 651d | DragonRider-819 | John Thune | SellYes>99¢ | $2,453 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 651d |  MMousse2 fills | Rick Scott | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,818 | +$37 +0.2% | 10 |
| 651d | MMousse2 fills | John Cornyn | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,996 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 651d | MMousse | JD Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,092 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 651d | MMousse | John Thune | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,866 | +$50 +0.1% | 10 |
| 651d |  Erasmus.3 fills | John Thune | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $35,408 | +$365 +1.0% | 10 |
| 652d | Traderthomas | John Thune | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 652d | cigarettes | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 652d | cigarettes3 fills | Rick Scott | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,879 | +$11 +0.3% | 10 |
| 652d | cigarettes5 fills | JD Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,239 | +$31 +0.5% | 10 |
| 652d | cigarettes | John Barrasso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 652d | cigarettes | Joni Ernst | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 652d | Traderthomas | John Thune | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$6 +0.6% | 10 |
| 653d | DragonRider-819 | John Thune | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,446 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 653d |  noreasapa | John Thune | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,277 | +$31 +0.7% | 10 |
| 653d | twilanece | Steve Daines | SellNo>99¢ | $5,937 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 653d | twilanece | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,937 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | bethelcommod | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,916 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | zenaquasivlaurp | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,949 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | josiannegut | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,931 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | kentonimp | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,957 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | celestine-592 | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,945 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | kassandramoles | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,960 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | darenrerumbe | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,960 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | lylaokuneva | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,960 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | eulaliaatsjxm | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,942 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | cassidyinci | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,967 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | babybraunt | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,967 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | benedictsae | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,983 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | horaciosedzxmt | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,961 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | mellieve | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,986 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | percyincidu | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,972 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | breannarepe | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,997 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | mittiequosll | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,987 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | doramole | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,011 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | napoleonincid | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,981 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | wymankerlukexmd | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,005 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | efrainrunte | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,990 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | eltonhellerps | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,656 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | josephba | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,632 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | jaceyistett | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,651 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | erichbogisi | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,633 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | 040f61a1b | John Thune | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 653d | kristinanonrg | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,667 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | jaysondo | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,656 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | jeremier | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,690 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | nathanie | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,675 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | 040f61a1b | John Thune | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$9 +0.7% | 10 |
| 653d | haileymayertx | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,710 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | emmanuelveritat | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,689 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | nemocarolewgum | Steve Daines | SellNo>99¢ | $5,709 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 653d | nemocarolewgum | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,709 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | samutlqkalqv | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,659 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | yolandacarterc | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,687 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | einoetpleoots | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,660 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | reinadelec | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,677 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | deonteexplica | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,677 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | zettadoloremux | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,672 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | xavierearumsp | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,653 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 653d | edmundbspnrpraf | Steve Daines | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,677 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
This is a market on who will be the next Senate Majority Leader following the upcoming elections.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for John Thune means the market gives it about 100%.