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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | qscbn | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning>99¢ | $37,146 | −$37 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Sumeria | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning>99¢ | $1,531 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | RocketWorld | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning>99¢ | $1,441 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d |  alpheclabs | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning>99¢ | $3,558 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | kokony | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning>99¢ | $5,095 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 168d |  polikujh312 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning99¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | −$47 −1.0% | — |
| 168d | honduraslover12 fills | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellLightning98¢ → 100¢ | $13,877 | −$218 −1.6% | — |
| 168d | kokony | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning51¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | +$2,499 +96% | 4 |
| 168d | KRIS2 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellCanadiens46¢ → 0¢ | $1,693 | +$1,693 +100% | — |
| 168d | kch1232 fills | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning50¢ → 100¢ | $16,312 | +$16,028 +98% | 4 |
| 168d | richerZ | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder98¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 168d | KRIS2 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens53¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | polikujh312 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning53¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,249 +90% | 4 |
| 168d | pilotbaby | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning51¢ → 100¢ | $3,746 | +$3,600 +96% | 4 |
| 168d | 0x5d1d…afd2 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning51¢ → 100¢ | $3,746 | +$3,600 +96% | 4 |
| 168d | Vigilant-Environment | O/U 5.5 | BuyUnder74¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$363 +35% | 4 |
| 168d |  12monkeys | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $1,949 | −$1,949 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | RoCash7 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens48¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 4 |
| 168d | Mosley12 fills | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning53¢ → 100¢ | $105,950 | +$95,509 +90% | 14 |
| 168d | BWArmageddon | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning53¢ → 100¢ | $7,738 | +$6,862 +89% | 4 |
| 168d |  mooseborzoi | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning53¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$2,079 +89% | 14 |
| 168d | Sassy-Bucket2 fills | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $42,380 | −$42,380 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Banklord | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens48¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | stackingsats | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens48¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Herdonia | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning52¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$972 +92% | 14 |
| 168d | Schnoodled | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Jamespn1 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Jdhdhduu | O/U 5.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 100¢ | $3,285 | +$3,285 +100% | 14 |
| 168d | qscbn | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning52¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$17,538 +92% | 14 |
| 168d | texaskid2 fills | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning52¢ → 100¢ | $49,400 | +$45,600 +92% | 14 |
| 168d |  LuckyLeif | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Rapid-Climate2 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver40¢ → 0¢ | $5,360 | −$5,360 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | willqcccc | Lightning vs. Canadiens | SellCanadiens48¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | +$1,185 +100% | — |
| 168d | Rapid-Climate | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $7,650 | −$7,650 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Rapid-Climate | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning52¢ → 100¢ | $6,240 | +$5,760 +92% | 14 |
| 168d | trumpnogo2 fills | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 168d |  Flipadelphia | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning52¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,200 +92% | 14 |
| 168d | slimjoe | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 168d | Compassionate-Advocacy | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyCanadiens49¢ → 0¢ | $1,715 | −$1,715 −100% | 18 |
| 169d | pilotguy | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning52¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$1,092 +92% | 12 |
| 169d | Talvez10 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning51¢ → 100¢ | $5,932 | +$5,700 +96% | 12 |
| 170d | DogecoinMillionaire | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BuyLightning51¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$1,690 +96% | 9 |
JuicySlots90,000 sharesIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lightning vs. Canadiens means the market gives it about 100%.