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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitals vs. Senators | 0% | −44 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288d | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,465 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 288d | O/U 5.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $2,142 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 288d | kennethsol | Capitals vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $3,298 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 288d | Capitals vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $1,555 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 288d | 0x27cdfbea6aacf09f0b4daab6cab1df865fed4d3 | Capitals vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 288d | X0X0X0X0X | O/U 5.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,135 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 288d | Smallfalcons2000 | Capitals vs. Senators | SellSenators99¢ → 100¢ | $6,066 | −$61 −1.0% | — |
| 288d | Frizzy-Schnitzel | O/U 6.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $11,523 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 288d | mwenya | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 288d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators94¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$126 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 288d | Smallfalcons2000 | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators97¢ → 100¢ | $5,661 | +$158 +2.8% | 4 |
| 288d | gmanas | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators88¢ → 100¢ | $2,796 | +$381 +14% | 4 |
| 288d | gmanas | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $1,708 | −$1,708 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver95¢ → 100¢ | $3,510 | +$168 +4.8% | 4 | |
| 288d | ewww1 | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals13¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators89¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$172 +12% | 4 | |
| 288d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators89¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$175 +13% | 4 | |
| 288d | Capitals vs. Senators | SellSenators84¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$192 −19% | — | |
| 288d | ewww12 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | SellSenators78¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | −$695 −29% | — |
| 288d | ewww12 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators67¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | +$1,426 +48% | 4 |
| 288d | Last-Pants | Capitals vs. Senators | SellCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | +$2,200 +100% | — |
| 288d | Last-Pants | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $1,309 | −$1,309 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | +$2,127 +79% | 4 | |
| 288d | test123ssss | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | kch1232 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals63¢ → 0¢ | $3,798 | −$3,798 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | 12398498123498189239843 | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals50¢ → 0¢ | $1,411 | −$1,411 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | 0x27cdfbea6aacf09f0b4daab6cab1df865fed4d3 | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals50¢ → 0¢ | $1,887 | −$1,887 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | howboutthemcookies | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators50¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$1,590 +100% | 4 |
| 288d | latinalover | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals48¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 4 |
| 288d | Stormy-Sherbet2 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | SellCapitals41¢ → 0¢ | $3,893 | +$3,893 +100% | — |
| 288d | Frizzy-Schnitzel | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver45¢ → 100¢ | $5,167 | +$6,367 +123% | 14 |
| 288d | KirksCousin2 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators58¢ → 100¢ | $4,359 | +$3,156 +72% | 14 |
| 288d | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder56¢ → 0¢ | $23,605 | −$23,605 −100% | 14 | |
| 288d | c4c43 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators58¢ → 100¢ | $19,156 | +$13,905 +73% | 14 |
| 288d | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder56¢ → 0¢ | $3,640 | −$3,640 −100% | 14 | |
| 289d | 0x0limit | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals43¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 14 |
| 289d | Multicolored-Self | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators57¢ → 100¢ | $26,815 | +$20,229 +75% | 20 |
| 289d | weflyhigh3 fills | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $36,407 | −$36,407 −100% | 14 |
| 289d | ggggggggggggggggggggggggggg | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $30,240 | +$23,760 +79% | 14 |
| 289d | iloveabgs | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $2,441 | +$1,918 +79% | 14 |
| 289d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 14 | |
| 289d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 289d | Trotz.85 | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators57¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$800 +75% | 14 |
| 289d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 14 | |
| 289d | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder54¢ → 0¢ | $1,072 | −$1,072 −100% | 14 | |
| 289d | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $150,000 | −$150K −100% | 14 | |
| 289d | Submissive-GamebirdNew account | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators57¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$1,720 +75% | 29 |
| 289d | mn20wuky | Capitals vs. Senators | BuyCapitals44¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 14 |
| 289d | SeriouslySirius | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $7,597 | +$5,969 +79% | 14 |
| 289d | DeezNuggies | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$990 +79% | 12 |
| 289d | misskim | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$943 +79% | 12 |
| 289d | LFG12 | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators57¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$1,207 +75% | 12 |
| 289d | wowofwow | Spread -1.5 | BuySenators34¢ → 0¢ | $2,501 | −$2,501 −100% | 12 |
| 289d | petcontrol | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | +$1,333 +79% | 12 |
| 289d | Erikzamboer | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | +$1,840 +79% | 9 |
| 290d | elkmonkey | Capitals vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$1,225 +79% | 9 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 1 at 1:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Capitals vs. Senators means the market gives it about 0%.