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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | +66 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gerald Murnane | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Can Xue | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jamaica Kincaid | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Salman Rushdie | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexis Wright | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anne Carson | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ko Un | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ngũgĩ wa Thiong'o | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Thomas Pynchon | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michel Houellebecq | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haruki Murakami | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Nobel Prize in Literature for the current year.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.