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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| August 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 869d | professorx | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,725 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 869d | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,209 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 932d | vainglorious875 fills | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,063 | +$333 +2.8% | 4 |
| 932d | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,451 | +$82 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 985d | March 31 | SellYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,804 | +$2,804 +100% | — | |
| 985d | March 31 | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 | |
| 1001d | March 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$113 +10% | 4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.