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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +24 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | −18 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wei Yi | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 498d | Teller | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,397 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 498d | CashBrad | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 498d | verbatimwheel | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $4,396 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 498d |  SappySeal67 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,609 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 498d | piotrdz | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$144 −12% | — |
| 498d |  Debosnys | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 498d | Debosnys3 fills | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,643 | +$427 +2.6% | 5 |
| 498d | stbob | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,033 | −$337 −11% | — |
| 498d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,208 | +$222 +5.3% | 4 |
| 498d | badpolling3 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $19,532 | +$2,712 +14% | 4 |
| 498d |  0xe2CD5C | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 498d |  Dropper | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $13,061 | +$2,305 +18% | 4 |
| 498d | cigarettes | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$324 +25% | 4 |
| 498d | badpolling | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,327 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 498d | wfvmaxi123 | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,920 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 498d | DeathtoIslam | Arjun Erigaisi | SellNo>99¢ | $5,955 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 499d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 499d | iamgone | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$97 +8.9% | 6 |
| 499d | Waterfall412 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,593 | −$1,593 −100% | 9 |
| 500d | iamgone | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,274 | −$2,274 −100% | 9 |
| 501d |  gopfan2 | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,143 | +$1,179 +19% | 5 |
| 501d |  abacaxi | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,371 | +$455 +19% | 5 |
| 501d | abacaxi | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,792 | +$34 +1.2% | 4 |
| 501d | abacaxi | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$1,158 +69% | 6 |
| 501d | abacaxi | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,639 | −$1,639 −100% | 6 |
| 502d | iamgone | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 6 |
| 502d | Tavira | Magnus Carlsen | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $14,268 | +$14,268 +100% | — |
| 502d | Ertoma | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $25,378 | +$14,275 +56% | 6 |
| 503d | chess89 | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$104 −9.4% | — |
| 505d | popicamitica | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | −$633 −47% | — |
| 506d |  punishedgoon2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,943 | +$1,300 +44% | 4 |
| 506d | Valrus | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$1,062 −99% | — |
| 507d | Waterfall4122 fills | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$522 +17% | 4 |
| 507d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Magnus Carlsen | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,131 | +$1,131 +100% | — |
| 507d | popicamitica2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,108 | +$2,012 +65% | 4 |
| 508d | DeathtoIslam | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$581 +32% | 4 |
| 508d | FasterFister69 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | +$978 +48% | 4 |
| 508d | TraderPeter | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$902 +54% | 4 |
| 509d | gopfan2 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 4 |
| 509d | verbatimwheel | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$847 +64% | 4 |
| 509d | chess89 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$1,898 +64% | 4 |
| 515d | Waterfall412 | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$494 +11% | 4 |
| 522d |  AlmostAndy | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 4 |
| 524d | AlmostAndy4 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $9,941 | +$6,781 +68% | 4 |
| 530d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 4 |
| 531d | h038596027355 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | +$856 +52% | 4 |
nvminfochanged20 sharesThis is a market on predicting the winner of the Norway Chess tournament, scheduled to take place May 26, 2025 – Jun 6, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.