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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469d | viktorurolog16 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 469d | dontshowmyname | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$520 +27% | 4 |
| 469d |  0x123452 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $2,458 | +$2,458 +100% | — |
| 469d | 0x12345 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,501 | −$1,501 −100% | 4 |
| 470d | Yomba | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$1,456 +138% | 4 |
71536498201,000 shares
rousseauuu440 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Elon Musk creates a new political party -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -A nuclear weapon detonates Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+2.png
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.