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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358d |  DumplingBMF3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $5,482 | +$1,018 +19% | 5 |
| 358d | Azrarn | Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,257 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | amused85 | Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,174 | −$1,174 −100% | 5 |
namespaceqq1,019 shares
wobo7333 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia captured the Pokrovsk train station - Russia captured Kupiansk - Russia captured Kostyantynivka - Russia captured Siversk - Russia captured Shakhove Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Russian+Capture+Edition.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.