Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30-1.34 | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1.20 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.20-1.24 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.25-1.29 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.35-1.39 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1.39 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 676d |  456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | <1.20 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,774 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 676d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | >1.39 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,415 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 676d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | 1.35-1.39 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,664 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 676d | 456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | 1.20-1.24 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,461 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 676d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | 1.30-1.34 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,250 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 676d | longtern2 fills | 1.30-1.34 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,998 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 676d |  lranon2 fills | 1.25-1.29 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,293 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 676d | longtern | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,998 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 676d |  pirateshere | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,947 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 676d |  aenews25 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $153,141 | +$349 +0.2% | 4 |
| 676d | lranon | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,292 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 676d | aenews23 fills | >1.39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $129,811 | +$130 +0.1% | 4 |
| 676d | aenews25 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $166,567 | +$335 +0.2% | 4 |
| 676d |  gopfan23 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,601 | +$725 +16% | 8 |
| 676d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | +$19 +0.7% | 4 |
| 676d | 456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,190 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 676d |  Strider-1 | <1.20 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,592 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 676d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | 1.35-1.39 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,954 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
| 677d | Groon8824 | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 677d | aenews22 fills | 1.30-1.34 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,308 | +$267 +8.1% | 4 |
| 677d |  CPU | 1.30-1.34 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$120 −11% | — |
| 677d | aenews2 | 1.35-1.39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,265 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 677d | Erde | 1.30-1.34 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$386 +7.7% | 4 |
| 678d | Nowhere-Man | >1.39 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 678d | volcanicviper | 1.30-1.34 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$229 −20% | — |
| 678d | Gallo3 fills | 1.30-1.34 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $4,090 | −$3,210 −78% | — |
| 680d | Oxf240RS2016 | 1.30-1.34 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | −$191 −17% | — |
| 681d | Cute-Message2 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $3,967 | −$3,967 −100% | 4 |
| 683d | russell110320 | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,525 | +$475 +11% | 4 |
| 683d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,168 | +$781 +13% | 4 |
| 683d | NiBe | >1.39 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$22 −1.6% | — |
| 683d | NiBe | >1.39 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$16 +1.1% | 4 |
| 684d | Impure-Venom2 fills | 1.25-1.29 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,184 | −$3,184 −100% | 8 |
| 684d | gopfan2 | 1.20-1.24 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,590 | +$316 +8.8% | 4 |
| 685d | Gallo2 fills | 1.30-1.34 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$1,404 +64% | 14 |
| 687d | gopfan2 | 1.30-1.34 | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$1,796 +98% | 12 |
| 687d |  mountaindewd | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$450 +35% | 11 |
| 688d | aenews2 | 1.25-1.29 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,642 | +$738 +45% | 9 |
| 688d | eeettt | <1.20 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 688d | eeettt | <1.20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,097 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 692d |  Bougainville | >1.39 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$32 −3.2% | — |
| 696d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | <1.20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | −$81 −7.0% | — |
| 700d | Impure-Venom | >1.39 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$78 −7.5% | — |
| 700d | Impure-Venom | >1.39 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$89 +8.7% | 4 |
This is a market group over the temperature increase the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.30-1.34 means the market gives it about 100%.