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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29-1.34 | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1.17 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.17-1.22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.23-1.28 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.35-1.40 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1.40 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708d |  LBZcapital4 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $58,684 | +$59 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d | rpo | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,619 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d |  pirateshere | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,523 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d |  LlamaEnjoyer | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,243 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d |  tsybka4 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $158,761 | +$338 +0.2% | 4 |
| 708d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,013 | +$24 +0.3% | 4 |
| 708d |  Anjun2 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,800 | +$200 +0.3% | 4 |
| 708d | LBZcapital | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,793 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d |  aldynspeedruns | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,309 | +$64 +0.3% | 4 |
| 708d |  Car2 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,855 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 708d |  Dropper | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,470 | +$30 +0.4% | 4 |
| 708d |  🍝👹 | >1.40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,299 | +$53 +0.4% | 4 |
| 708d | Car | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d | Car | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d | Anjun | <1.17 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,273 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 708d | Dropper2 fills | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,647 | +$36 +0.8% | 4 |
| 708d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,226 | +$74 +0.8% | 4 |
| 708d | Dropper | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,117 | +$83 +1.0% | 4 |
| 708d |  carp | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,585 | +$33 +1.3% | 4 |
| 708d | carp | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | +$62 +2.1% | 4 |
| 708d | AgricultureSecretary | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$66 +4.2% | 4 |
| 708d |  Imbafer | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$160 +4.2% | 4 |
| 708d |  aenews23 fills | >1.40 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $33,023 | +$206 +0.6% | 4 |
| 708d | aenews2 | 1.23-1.28 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,464 | +$273 +4.2% | 4 |
| 708d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 1.23-1.28 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,708 | −$292 −6.2% | — |
| 709d |  gopfan2 | 1.29-1.34 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,031 | +$304 +10% | 4 |
| 710d | aenews2 | 1.17-1.22 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,663 | +$37 +1.4% | 4 |
| 714d | Steep-Public | 1.35-1.40 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | +$399 +23% | 4 |
| 716d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | >1.40 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$48 −4.3% | — |
This is a market group over the temperature increase the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.29-1.34 means the market gives it about 100%.