Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +21 pts | — | 95¢ · >99¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d | Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,042 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 317d | Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,742 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced under the listed value for any two-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-under-5-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.