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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <70 | 100% | +74 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70-84 | 0% | −32 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 85-99 | 0% | −17 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-114 | 0% | −21 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-129 | 0% | −5 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 130+ | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | Trim-Caution | <70 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,710 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 187d | lava-lava2 fills | <70 | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $3,009 | +$3,997 +133% | 11 |
| 187d | jocpolitic | <70 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,653 | −$1,653 −100% | 10 |
| 188d | RichardSanchez9540 | 100-114 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$239 +20% | 10 |
| 188d | Melody626 | <70 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $4,252 | −$4,252 −100% | 10 |
| 188d | Robt789 | <70 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 189d | Periodic-Conviction | <70 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 24 |
| 197d | dsoperative | <70 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,541 | −$1,541 −100% | 10 |
| 199d | CryptoHawaiiMaui5 fills | <70 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $6,057 | −$6,057 −100% | 10 |
| 200d | WalterR | <70 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 10 |
| 212d | fatVague2 fills | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,251 | −$208 −9.2% | — |
| 212d | fatVague2 fills | 115-129 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$209 +9.3% | 10 |
| 212d | job4691 | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$100 −9.2% | — |
| 212d | fingerAlert | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | −$123 −9.2% | — |
| 212d | job4691 | 115-129 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$99 +9.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Path-Require | 115-129 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$108 +9.1% | 10 |
| 212d | surpriseLyrics2 fills | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | −$183 −9.1% | — |
| 212d | surpriseLyrics | 115-129 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$91 +9.1% | 10 |
| 212d | emergerf39 | 115-129 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$103 +9.1% | 10 |
| 212d | onion.wreck.mansion2 fills | 130+ | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | −$133 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | Gloom.Drift.Symptom | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$40 +3.2% | 10 |
| 212d | onion.wreck.mansion | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$39 +3.2% | 10 |
| 212d | positionCurious | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | −$135 −9.2% | — |
| 212d | hurry132 | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$40 +3.1% | 10 |
| 212d | upgradeFrog | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$48 +3.1% | 10 |
| 212d | sleep-name-pool | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | −$48 −3.1% | — |
| 212d | sleep-name-pool | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$48 +3.1% | 10 |
| 212d | planet3535 | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | −$49 −3.0% | — |
| 212d | Neithermf92 | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$36 −3.0% | — |
| 212d | Neithermf92 | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$38 +3.1% | 10 |
| 212d | planet3535 | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | +$50 +3.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Admit9177 | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | −$33 −2.9% | — |
| 212d | teachGaze | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 212d | Cinnamon80 | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$32 −2.9% | — |
| 212d | surpriseLyrics | 130+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$26 −2.4% | — |
| 212d | drift-wool | 130+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$25 −2.4% | — |
| 212d | drift-wool | 130+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$42 +2.9% | 10 |
| 212d | moon.review.language | 130+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$33 −2.5% | — |
| 212d | zoo-owner | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$117 −8.9% | — |
| 212d | lend-recycle | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | −$116 −8.9% | — |
| 212d | reject430 | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$106 −8.9% | — |
| 212d | extraWaste2 fills | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,662 | −$244 −9.2% | — |
| 212d | lend-recycle | 115-129 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$119 +9.2% | 10 |
| 212d | zoo-owner | 115-129 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$120 +9.2% | 10 |
| 212d | teachGaze | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$104 −9.2% | — |
| 212d | tag-noble-act | 115-129 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$119 −9.4% | — |
| 212d | Quote-Fame2 fills | 115-129 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,757 | −$248 −9.0% | — |
| 212d | tag-noble-act | 115-129 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$119 +9.4% | 10 |
| 212d | crashft40 | 130+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$55 −3.5% | — |
| 212d | olympicmf11 | 130+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | −$52 −3.8% | — |
| 212d | drip320 | 130+ | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | −$84 −6.5% | — |
| 212d | swing33 | 130+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$81 −7.5% | — |
| 212d | raccoon.tonight.desk | 130+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$81 −7.5% | — |
| 212d | Aprilbd88 | 130+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$82 −7.5% | — |
| 212d | swing33 | 130+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$82 +7.6% | 10 |
| 212d | Aprilbd88 | 130+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$92 +7.6% | 10 |
| 212d | upper336 | 130+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$88 −7.4% | — |
| 212d | Mimicaz40 | 130+ | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$99 −7.4% | — |
| 212d | unfair-prefer-typical | 130+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$99 +7.3% | 10 |
| 212d | Mimicaz40 | 130+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$98 +7.3% | 10 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <70 means the market gives it about 100%.