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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50m+ | 100% | +95 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-25m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-30m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-35m | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-40m | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-45m | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45-50m | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481d | jalako | 50m+ | SellYes>99¢ | $6,140 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 482d |  Kinganibus | 50m+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,574 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | gotan | 30-35m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 482d |  EA8 | 35-40m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$32 +3.1% | 4 |
| 482d |  RelaySucks | 25-30m | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,452 | +$48 +0.4% | 4 |
| 482d | RelaySucks4 fills | 30-35m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,456 | +$175 +2.7% | 5 |
| 482d | RelaySucks | 20-25m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,883 | +$17 +0.4% | 4 |
| 482d |  Aurik | 50m+ | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,540 | −$1,540 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pe_ejTiIcSs) posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel, specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50m+ means the market gives it about 100%.