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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0–5.5m | 100% | +59 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <4.0m | 0% | −15 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5.5–7.0m | 0% | −27 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7.0–8.5m | 0% | −16 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8.5–10.0m | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10.0–11.5m | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11.5–13.0m | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥13.0m | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 366d | Snarling-PhotographyNew account | 4.0–5.5m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,391 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 366d | MAGA.ONE4 fills | 5.5–7.0m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,280 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 366d | MAGA.ONE2 fills | 4.0–5.5m | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,045 | +$21 +0.3% | 4 |
| 366d | rated | 8.5–10.0m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 366d | rated | 7.0–8.5m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 366d | rated | 5.5–7.0m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 366d | MAGA.ONE | <4.0m | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,902 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 366d | MAGA.ONE3 fills | ≥13.0m | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,739 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 366d | MAGA.ONE3 fills | 11.5–13.0m | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,671 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 367d |  q192 fills | 4.0–5.5m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$79 +3.1% | 4 |
| 369d | Speedy-RevealNew account | <4.0m | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,003 | −$2,003 −100% | 19 |
| 371d |  lranon2 fills | <4.0m | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $2,440 | −$2,440 −100% | 4 |
AlbertaJames1 shares
AsaButler1 shares
PleasurePozosavjM1 shares
StaceyLaw1 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by Marques Brownlee gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If Marques Brownlee does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is Marques Brownlee's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@mkbhd/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to Marques Brownlee next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4.0–5.5m means the market gives it about 100%.