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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30–35M | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25–30M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35–40M | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45M | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50M | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50–55M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55M+ | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194d |  laserjohnny | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,986 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | oidocrop | 30–35M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 194d | Candid-Pate | 30–35M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,990 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 194d | AZwater | <25M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  PicklePredictor | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 194d | PicklePredictor | 30–35M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 194d |  abhionpoly | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,693 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  Hit-man | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  TalhaTrades | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,338 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Kamikaze99 | 30–35M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,537 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d |  sunmeee | 35–40M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,395 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 195d | AZwater5 fills | 30–35M | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,650 | +$33 +0.2% | 4 |
| 195d | AZwater2 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 195d |  crazydrops | 30–35M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,046 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 195d |  d1namiiit2 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,460 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 195d | d1namiiit2 fills | 40–45M | SellNo>99¢ | $11,059 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | ExDeus | 35–40M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,752 | +$25 +0.9% | 4 |
| 195d | gold-digger | 35–40M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,117 | +$84 +1.4% | 4 |
| 195d | tennisbowling | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Alive-Gumshoe | 30–35M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | −$66 −2.9% | — |
| 195d |  Snow-White | 30–35M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$48 −3.0% | — |
| 195d | Tough-Filing3 fills | 30–35M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,428 | +$205 +2.8% | 4 |
| 195d |  OxVooDoo | 35–40M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$36 +3.1% | 4 |
| 195d | OxVooDoo | 55M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,170 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Kamikaze99 | 55M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,642 | +$38 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | Kamikaze99 | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,253 | +$27 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | AZwater3 fills | 40–45M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,963 | +$50 +0.6% | 4 |
| 195d | Idespisejeets | 30–35M | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,546 | −$661 −15% | — |
| 195d | ExDeus | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,293 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction | 35–40M | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 7 |
| 195d | AZwater7 fills | 25–30M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,706 | +$170 +0.8% | 4 |
| 195d | LeyJamesO2 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,533 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 195d | LeyJamesO2 fills | <25M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,533 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction | 30–35M | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,623 | −$6,119 −233% | — |
| 195d | jinsun... | 25–30M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,976 | +$31 +0.6% | 4 |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction2 fills | <25M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,810 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | AZwater3 fills | 55M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,095 | +$128 +0.4% | 4 |
| 195d | gold-digger | 55M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $5,258 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 195d | tennisbowling | 25–30M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$34 +1.6% | 4 |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction4 fills | 25–30M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,662 | +$281 +2.9% | 4 |
| 195d |  zhangyu1377 | 55M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,960 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 195d | AZwater | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,609 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 195d | Snow-White | 30–35M | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$2,524 +223% | 4 |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction | 30–35M | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$4,384 +223% | 9 |
| 195d |  TheCatBurglar | 30–35M | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,836 | −$1,836 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | Tough-Filing2 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,743 | +$179 +3.1% | 4 |
| 195d |  shadow54 | <25M | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,078 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | Idespisejeets | 35–40M | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $3,154 | +$3,154 +100% | — |
| 195d | Alive-Gumshoe | 30–35M | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | +$1,398 +100% | — |
| 195d |  kesharisinh | 25–30M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction3 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,470 | +$845 +10.0% | 5 |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction | 50–55M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 195d | bean125 | <25M | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,054 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | Lawful-Instruction6 fills | 55M+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,448 | +$323 +1.6% | 4 |
| 195d | Idespisejeets | 35–40M | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | AZwater | 30–35M | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $2,480 | +$2,480 +100% | — |
| 195d | Alive-Gumshoe | 50–55M | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$39 −3.3% | — |
| 195d | AZwater | 25–30M | SellNo100¢ | $1,317 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 195d | Senritsu | 35–40M | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | +$1,070 +100% | — |
| 195d | MoD2 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $2,540 | −$2,540 −100% | 4 |
TheCatBurglar3,596 shares
airme2,128 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30–35M means the market gives it about 100%.