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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35–40M | 100% | +65 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25M | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25–30M | 0% | −6 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30–35M | 0% | −35 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45M | 0% | −14 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50M | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50–55M | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55M+ | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d | 45–50M | SellNo>99¢ | $20,807 | −$21 −0.1% | — | |
| 299d | 40–45M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,245 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 299d | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,857 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 299d | btacc2 fills | 40–45M | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | −$698 −25% | — |
| 300d | foxymojo | 35–40M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,163 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | 40–45M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,780 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 300d | 35–40M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,569 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $43,782 | +$78 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,411 | +$89 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 300d | Bulky-Axis | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,203 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 300d | geraldhew893 fills | 40–45M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$295 +2.7% | 4 |
| 300d | foxymojo | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,160 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 300d | foxymojo | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | influenz.eth6 fills | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,611 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 300d | cigarettes | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,689 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 300d | 50–55M | SellNo>99¢ | $8,140 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 300d | 55M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $9,938 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,019 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 300d | 35–40M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,182 | −$9 −0.4% | — | |
| 300d | 0xacd0…5a9f | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | SupremeGentleman | 35–40M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,980 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 300d | payose | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,887 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,258 | +$178 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 300d | Bulky-Axis | 40–45M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,259 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 300d | payose | 45–50M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | 35–40M | SellYes100¢ | $2,771 | −$14 −0.5% | — | |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,288 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,080 | +$24 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 300d | btacc2 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,353 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 300d | 35–40M | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,941 | −$349 −8.8% | — | |
| 300d | tsekinming01 | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | WEALTHALCHEMIST | 35–40M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | −$61 −3.1% | — |
| 300d | 35–40M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,009 | +$134 +2.7% | 4 | |
| 300d | foxymojo | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x97cc…bbbf9 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,977 | +$86 +0.3% | 4 |
| 300d | noneaa | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,849 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | noneaa | 55M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | rated2 fills | 55M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,102 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 25–30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,390 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 300d | Dodor2 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,573 | +$216 +4.7% | 4 |
| 300d | 0xc1af…0dae2 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,076 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x5cb6…91e4 | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,848 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,394 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 300d | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,666 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 300d | BENFICAA | 40–45M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | +$99 +4.2% | 4 |
| 300d | 40–45M | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,080 | +$2,080 +100% | — | |
| 300d | rated2 fills | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,102 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x97cc…bbbf3 fills | 40–45M | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,882 | +$917 +13% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x42a2…d2a02 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,608 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | alex562 | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,315 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0xc1af…0dae | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,083 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | rated3 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,109 | +$17 +0.6% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x97cc…bbbf | 35–40M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | +$242 +14% | 4 |
| 300d | rated | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0xacd0…5a9f | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,729 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x2413…b0f8 | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x09fa…5b72 | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,085 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 300d | ttv25 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $8,816 | +$3,195 +36% | 4 |
| 300d | 0x42a2…d2a02 fills | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $9,078 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of if a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 35–40M means the market gives it about 100%.