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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45–50M | 100% | +100 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25–30M | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30–35M | 0% | −97 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35–40M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50M+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 372d | 45–50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,648 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 372d | 50M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,262 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 372d | MAGA.ONE3 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,258 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 372d | MAGA.ONE3 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,429 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 372d | xbsuwrkfmdl373 fills | 30–35M | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $5,240 | −$5,240 −100% | 4 |
| 372d | cigarettes | 40–45M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$44 +3.1% | 4 |
| 372d | cigarettes | 35–40M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$58 +4.2% | 4 |
| 372d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | 35–40M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,985 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 372d | Dodor | 35–40M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$23 +1.5% | 4 |
| 372d | -JB-4 fills | 25–30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,331 | +$29 +0.2% | 4 |
| 374d | Back-Restaurant | <25M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the number of YouTube views for “Taylor Swift - The Fate of Ophelia (Official Music Video)” as displayed on its official YouTube video page at 12:00 PM ET on October 10, 2025. If the video is offline on Friday at 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be the official YouTube video page for “The Fate of Ophelia” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ko70cExuzZM), using the publicly visible view counter at the specified time.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 45–50M means the market gives it about 100%.