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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | — | 0 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d | CP5000 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $2,014 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 657d | Essential-Account | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes53¢ → 50¢ | $2,249 | −$127 −5.7% | 3 |
| 657d | Moj | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $1,054 | +$22 +2.0% | 3 |
| 658d |  unrealfeeder | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $4,247 | +$83 +2.0% | — |
| 662d |  mewmew1 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellNo48¢ → 50¢ | $1,008 | −$42 −4.2% | — |
| 662d | mewmew1 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo42¢ → 50¢ | $1,762 | +$336 +19% | 3 |
| 662d |  RektAgent | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes65¢ → 50¢ | $1,267 | −$295 −23% | 2 |
| 665d | Etan | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes60¢ → 50¢ | $1,203 | −$201 −17% | 2 |
| 666d | unrealfeeder | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes57¢ → 50¢ | $2,097 | −$249 −12% | 2 |
| 666d | LFG20252 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes52¢ → 50¢ | $2,093 | +$89 +4.2% | — |
| 672d | Polytropic | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes63¢ → 50¢ | $1,450 | −$299 −21% | 2 |
| 702d | LFG2025 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes55¢ → 50¢ | $5,000 | −$445 −8.9% | 2 |
| 728d | ClearWhisper4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $40,800 | +$800 +2.0% | — |
| 728d | SoftZen4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $39,200 | +$800 +2.0% | 3 |
| 731d | eqeqee | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $5,117 | +$100 +2.0% | — |
| 732d | 0x024d…a6fe | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $5,015 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | 66222 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellNo48¢ → 50¢ | $4,816 | −$201 −4.2% | — |
| 732d | hrtfjhnfgt5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $14,750 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 732d | 368583785 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $14,750 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | tyjftgg5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $15,000 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 732d | 2573825 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $15,000 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | grgbdrfbgvs4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $12,000 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 732d | 54785324 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $12,000 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | srhgbg4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $11,600 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 732d | 245354 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $11,600 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | dfhfddd5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $13,000 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 732d | 873655 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $13,000 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | ttbfbvs5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $12,500 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 732d | 58745785 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $12,500 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 732d | 66222 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $5,016 | +$0 +0.0% | 2 |
| 733d | bthttt5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $14,025 | +$275 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 52897655 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $13,475 | +$275 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | ugygffdd5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $17,850 | +$350 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 2542355 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $17,150 | +$350 +2.0% | 3 |
| 733d | 899638955 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $10,200 | +$200 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 29835 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $9,800 | +$200 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | jnyjnjyh5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $6,885 | +$135 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 2638547825 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $6,615 | +$135 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | fdi9o95 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $6,375 | +$125 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 646854185 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $6,125 | +$125 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | 852669 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellNo49¢ → 50¢ | $1,274 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 733d | 8526695 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $6,370 | +$130 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | ttgvdfv4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $5,304 | +$104 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | ytghyghh4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $4,896 | +$96 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 5641634 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $4,704 | +$96 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | 564163 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellNo49¢ → 50¢ | $1,176 | −$24 −2.0% | — |
| 733d | ytghyghh | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyYes51¢ → 50¢ | $1,224 | −$24 −2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | grgeee5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $6,120 | +$120 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 638958635 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $5,880 | +$120 +2.0% | 2 |
| 733d | jnuyhjn5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $8,500 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 733d | 28572545 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $8,500 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 733d | lasseee | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $20,427 | +$401 +2.0% | — |
| 733d | 665668 | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo50¢ | $1,296 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 733d | dddrree4 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $73,776 | +$749 +1.0% | 2 |
| 733d | 6656683 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes50¢ | $85,939 | +$602 +0.7% | — |
| 733d | lasseee3 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $29,193 | +$353 +1.2% | 2 |
| 733d | dsfddda5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes52¢ → 50¢ | $6,240 | +$240 +3.8% | — |
| 733d | 5346145 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo48¢ → 50¢ | $5,760 | +$240 +4.2% | 3 |
| 733d | kmok0500m5 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | SellYes51¢ → 50¢ | $8,995 | +$245 +2.7% | — |
| 733d | 63486345 fills | OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | BuyNo49¢ → 50¢ | $8,505 | +$245 +2.9% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of OpenSea's token is above $1,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as 12:00 PM ET, 7 calendar days after it launches. For example, if the token launches at 8 PM ET, March 15, then the FDV at 12:00 PM ET, March 22 will be used. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If OpenSea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 50%.