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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinners | 100% | −1 pts | −13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| One Battle After Another | 0% | +3 pts | +19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamnet | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 28 Years Later | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| F1: The Movie | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frankenstein | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marty Supreme | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bugonia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nouvelle Vague | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Train Dreams | 0% | +1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wicked: For Good | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Other Choice | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anemone | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ballad of a Small Player | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | push-push | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $4,805 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Few-Attribute | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $1,590 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 215d | Standard-Zebra | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $2,117 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Frick | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $2,322 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Sheperooni | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $1,323 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | therealgreenastro | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $9,810 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 215d | Pandaprotect | One Battle After Another | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,037 | −$71 −1.0% | — |
| 215d | NeoWick | Train Dreams | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,522 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 215d | meropi | Train Dreams | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,552 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 215d |  AgricultureSecretary | Sinners | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,769 | +$653 +17% | 20 |
| 215d | Pandaprotect | One Battle After Another | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,108 +42% | 20 |
| 215d | 0xd373e26e2b719727d888ba521c05f39e56dc592b | One Battle After Another | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 20 |
| 215d | Huntrossity | One Battle After Another | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,001 | −$2,001 −100% | 20 |
| 215d | dfsgretfewqrfew | One Battle After Another | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $2,883 | −$2,883 −100% | 20 |
| 216d |  turtle911 | One Battle After Another | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,520 | −$1,520 −100% | 20 |
| 217d |  neetbets | One Battle After Another | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$3,277 +300% | 28 |
| 218d | Melody626 | One Battle After Another | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,377 | −$1,377 −100% | 24 |
| 219d | InsiderrrZ | One Battle After Another | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | −$1,236 −100% | 24 |
| 219d | gezi | One Battle After Another | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $16,865 | +$16,865 +100% | — |
| 219d | huashengyou2 fills | One Battle After Another | SellNo26¢ → 100¢ | $11,161 | −$31,765 −285% | — |
| 220d | gezi | One Battle After Another | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $16,729 | −$16,729 −100% | 22 |
| 220d | bailu1 | One Battle After Another | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $16,133 | −$16,133 −100% | 22 |
| 220d | maque | One Battle After Another | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $15,203 | −$15,203 −100% | 22 |
| 221d | tudousi | One Battle After Another | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $15,096 | +$15,096 +100% | — |
| 221d | culiubaicai | One Battle After Another | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $17,109 | +$17,109 +100% | — |
| 221d | xiaohuahua | One Battle After Another | SellNo28¢ → 100¢ | $6,873 | −$17,673 −257% | — |
| 222d | culiubaicai | One Battle After Another | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $17,109 | −$17,109 −100% | 22 |
| 222d | chaoqiezi | One Battle After Another | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $17,763 | −$17,763 −100% | 22 |
| 222d | tudousi | One Battle After Another | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $15,143 | −$15,143 −100% | 22 |
| 222d |  HorribleWork | Sinners | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $5,203 | −$5,203 −100% | 22 |
| 222d | mwenya3 fills | One Battle After Another | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $6,199 | −$6,199 −100% | 22 |
| 222d | aviato2 fills | One Battle After Another | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 22 |
| 222d |  macrosteaks | One Battle After Another | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,805 | −$1,805 −100% | 22 |
| 222d | macrosteaks | Sinners | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,041 | −$2,041 −100% | 22 |
| 222d | mwenya2 fills | Sinners | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,731 | −$2,731 −100% | 22 |
| 229d |  VanillaNinja | One Battle After Another | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,405 | +$1,405 +100% | — |
| 233d | Lean-Terminal | Marty Supreme | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,062 | +$18 +0.6% | 20 |
| 248d | immanuelcan | One Battle After Another | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 252d | NoMoreBurpeesPls | Sinners | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$513 +44% | 20 |
| 264d | leiqiu | One Battle After Another | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | −$690 −30% | — |
| 264d | dxmao | One Battle After Another | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,195 | −$656 −30% | — |
| 264d | xiaoxr | One Battle After Another | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | −$747 −30% | — |
| 264d | duckye | One Battle After Another | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,757 | −$823 −30% | — |
| 267d | dxmao | One Battle After Another | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,195 | +$656 +30% | 20 |
| 267d | duckye | One Battle After Another | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,757 | +$823 +30% | 20 |
| 267d | leiqiu | One Battle After Another | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$690 +30% | 20 |
| 267d | xiaoxr | One Battle After Another | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | +$747 +30% | 20 |
| 267d | oliman22 fills | Frankenstein | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,910 | −$2,910 −100% | 20 |
| 268d | AgricultureSecretary | Bugonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,806 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | AgricultureSecretary | Hamnet | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,040 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | AgricultureSecretary | Ballad of a Small Player | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,589 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | AgricultureSecretary | Nouvelle Vague | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,490 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | AgricultureSecretary | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,794 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | AgricultureSecretary | F1: The Movie | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,615 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,343 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Nouvelle Vague | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,072 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Bugonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,974 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Hamnet | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,899 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | F1: The Movie | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,070 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Hamnet | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$26 +1.9% | 20 |
Festka3,010 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Cinematography. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sinners means the market gives it about 100%.