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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Craig – "Queer" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colman Domingo – "Sing Sing" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ralph Fiennes – "Conclave" | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Stan - "The Apprentice" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actor B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593d |  Harmonicca | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | SellNo>99¢ | $3,494 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 593d | gobears07 - 7413 | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 593d | gobears07 - 7413 | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$407 +27% | 20 |
| 593d | messa | Colman Domingo – "Sing Sing" | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,556 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 593d |  Cajetan2 fills | Ralph Fiennes – "Conclave" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$35 +1.4% | 20 |
| 593d | Cajetan2 fills | Sebastian Stan - "The Apprentice" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,515 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 593d | ronrumbero | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$566 +36% | 20 |
| 593d | Cajetan2 fills | Colman Domingo – "Sing Sing" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,519 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 593d | MBRYAN | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$705 +35% | 20 |
| 594d |  city-hunter | Ralph Fiennes – "Conclave" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$19 +1.5% | 20 |
| 594d | sna002 | Sebastian Stan - "The Apprentice" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,771 | +$23 +0.6% | 20 |
| 594d | collided | Colman Domingo – "Sing Sing" | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,616 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 595d | Isaak👴 | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$512 +34% | 27 |
| 597d | affs20791 | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | −$1,015 −51% | — |
| 597d | d152667 | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 22 |
| 602d |  just.some.guy | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | −$604 −37% | — |
| 605d | Lopgft2 fills | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,307 | +$1,108 +33% | 20 |
| 606d |  dududududu | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | −$549 −39% | — |
| 608d | 0x53eCc53E7 | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$1,021 +64% | 20 |
| 615d | Harmonicca | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,878 | −$1,878 −100% | 22 |
| 615d | PrinceHal | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$1,433 +57% | 20 |
| 618d | affs20791 | Sebastian Stan - "The Apprentice" | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$123 +5.3% | 20 |
| 629d | dududududu | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$788 +64% | 20 |
| 631d | cigarettes | Ralph Fiennes – "Conclave" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$24 +1.2% | 20 |
| 631d | cigarettes | Colman Domingo – "Sing Sing" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 631d | cigarettes | Timothée Chalamet – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$670 +49% | 20 |
| 631d | affs20791 | Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$763 +54% | 20 |
| 632d |  AgricultureSecretary | Daniel Craig – "Queer" | SellNo>99¢ | $2,818 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 632d |  Slowroasted | Daniel Craig – "Queer" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,819 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | AgricultureSecretary | Daniel Craig – "Queer" | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,146 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 632d | nola72324 | Daniel Craig – "Queer" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,422 | +$45 +1.0% | 20 |
Daniyloo107 sharesThe Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Adrien Brody – "The Brutalist" means the market gives it about 100%.