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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Baker – "Anora" | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brady Corbet – "The Brutalist" | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| James Mangold – "A Complete Unknown" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jacques Audiard – "Emilia Pérez" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593d | EscalateFund | Sean Baker – "Anora" | SellYes>99¢ | $9,989 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 593d |  Harmonicca | Sean Baker – "Anora" | SellYes>99¢ | $2,363 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | rpo | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | SellNo>99¢ | $5,092 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | Cryptonite101 | James Mangold – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,341 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 593d | rpo | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,015 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 593d | aviato | Jacques Audiard – "Emilia Pérez" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,929 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 593d | Winninghumbly | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,670 | +$146 +0.7% | 20 |
| 594d |  KimJonEn | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 594d | planner | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,853 | +$21 +0.7% | 20 |
| 594d | canony | James Mangold – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | +$19 +0.6% | 20 |
| 594d |  mr.ozi | Sean Baker – "Anora" | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,810 | +$820 +45% | 20 |
| 597d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,819 | +$20 +0.7% | 20 |
| 597d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Jacques Audiard – "Emilia Pérez" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,826 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 597d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | James Mangold – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,819 | +$20 +0.7% | 20 |
| 597d | cigarettes2 fills | James Mangold – "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,795 | +$55 +0.7% | 20 |
| 597d | cigarettes2 fills | Coralie Fargeat – "The Substance" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,795 | +$55 +0.7% | 20 |
| 597d |  syncope2 fills | Brady Corbet – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $3,446 | −$3,446 −100% | 27 |
| 597d | EscalateFund2 fills | Sean Baker – "Anora" | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $5,741 | +$2,383 +42% | 22 |
| 597d | cigarettes | Sean Baker – "Anora" | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,373 | −$1,373 −100% | 23 |
| 608d |  Erasmus. | Brady Corbet – "The Brutalist" | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,611 | −$1,611 −100% | 21 |
| 613d |  dududududu | Sean Baker – "Anora" | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$1,755 +82% | 20 |
| 624d | affs20791 | Sean Baker – "Anora" | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | −$1,302 −100% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No." If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sean Baker – "Anora" means the market gives it about 100%.